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Analysis of the economy and forecasting |
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Introduction and purpose Short summary Economy (real), money and financial products Description of the method of analysis Analysis and forecasting Our publications If your have some interest in our activities, contact us. We will answer by E-Mail or phone. |
The evolution of industrial production in the world Industrial production has moved from Occident to Asia. For instance world cement production . China account for more than 59% of the world cement production as against 2% for the US . The US production is less than half of the African one and no more than Iran's production. Europe cement production is about 5% (2012 statistics). It is more or less a similar story for steel production. Ships building is in the hand of Asian nations as well as production of motor vehicles. Even airplanes production is starting to follow a similar pattern and before 5 years have passed many civilian aircrafts will be « made in China ». Is it necessary to speak about electronics ? Satellites, spacecrafts and space station too are beginning to be « made in China ».. There is growing gap between how people see the world in their mind and the real world Education and media have succeeded in convincing people that money is the real wealth. But if people who think the real wealth is money where forced to live alone a few years on a desert island with only a suitcase full of money, maybe they would discover that a solar device to desalinate see water , a lamp, matches, tools, knifes, a fishing rod, medicine, a tent, more clothes, a sleeping bag, soap, toilet paper, etc.. are more useful than money ! Maybe in the end they would understand that all the money inside their suitcase will not prevent them to starve or freeze to death very quickly. Maybe then would they understand that money has some value only if there are products to exchange for it and if the people who produce them find some interest in giving the result of their work for a piece of paper or a number in a computer. What interest do people have in working hours or days, weeks, months or even years to exchange the product of their work for a piece of paper or a number in a computer that has been created in a few seconds ? Of course, if you only see the daily life of most people, our economy forces us to earn money as the only way to obtain consumer goods or access services. To ask how and where products are made and how they end up in the shops is considered a simple question of logistic. Very few people are able to imagine that the whole system may stop. Most think there will always be somebody who will produce what they want because « everybody need money », especially their money . To ask why producers absolutely need our currencies is regarded as a heresy. Nevertheless this is the core of the problem. The value of the dollar and of the somewhat associated Euro is based on « petrodollar ». That is to say on an agreement between most petrol producing countries (all at the beginning) and the US to sell petrol only in exchange of dollars that would then later be recycled in US bonds (the debt of the US) . This shrewd scheme has allowed the US to extract even more resources from the rest of the world than through colonization and in a much cheaper way.. IBecause Iraqi president Saddam Hussein had challenged this, Iraq was attacked by the US, same thing occurred for Libyan president Gaddafi. But today this scheme is challenged by Iran (this explain why the US wants to go to war against that country) but it is also challenged by China and Russia, which make things a bit more complicated … There is a strong possibility of a world war but this will only make things worst for the West and destroy even faster western societies. The situation is even more complicated because, in order to consolidate its power the financial industry has taken over most newspapers, magazines, television networks thanks to the power of the unlimited money created out of thin air. The result of this almost total control of western media combined with the vanishing production sector is the creation of a virtual cultural and social world more and more disconnected from the real world. What is the relation between our analysis and our activities ? The aim of our activities is not to have a political activism. We think this would be useless since most people are not interested. However we try to answer the most important questions. For instance, what are the direct or indirect factors that have an influence over prices. The method of analysis based on processes/relations gives a far more complex answer than the classical method. For this classical method the answer is mostly, salaries are the main point. But in reality this is more an ideological point of view than the result of an in-depth analysis. Lowering wages will reduce the buying power of the population. This in turn will reduce the income of the state (less sales, means less taxes) and will intensify the crisis. Our method of analysis lead to the only actions that are still possible : innovate, cut cost through automation and modified management, know beforehand the new trends that will result from a moving situation and then anticipate instead of reacting to events.
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General Knowledge The Plunge Protection Team (The Washington independent) The Three Trillion Dollar War-QnA Statistics Shadow Government Statistic - Alternate Data Series Instituto Nacional de Estadistica (Espagne) Crude Oil Price History.Analysis, Petroleum, Statistical Review List of countries by motor vehicle production - Wikipedia List of countries by steel production - Wikipedia World steel production report ISSB FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data) Wikipedia Chicago Board of Trade |
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