Introduction

Method of analysis we use : analysis based on relations (See  "Description of the method of analysis")

Note: the word « trillion » has not the same meaning in the US, Great Britain, France, Spain... We use the US value which is 1.000.000 millions.

There is no analysis without method of analysis. The method based on analysis of relations start with processes (set of relations) to define the impacts on the elements. It proportionate a broader view than an analysis that study elements separately before considering system they are part of.

This method takes a more global point of view and is closer to the Asian way of thinking than to Cartesian analysis usually used in our society.

It is not possible to analyse the economy without an in depth knowledge of money, credit , relations between the real economy and financial or social structures. Moreover, it is necessary to have a good insight of existing technology. Our analysis method implies too that we should be able to understand the general behaviour of people in the different levels of power as well as motivations behind the actions of the majority of the individuals.

Purpose

Our work has nothing to do with politics or ideology. It is a way to hand down the knowledge we acquired through many years of work and experience. This allow us to forecast more and more successfully the evolution of the world. For instance we have correctly forecasted the downfall of Lehman Brothers 3 months in advance and the housing crisis 10 years ahead.

We have anticipated the growth of the chinese industry already 25 years ago. We are not trying to convince you. We try to share our experience in a more efficient way. The purpose of our analysis is to try to foresee the main long term trends and to try to help people, enterprises, institutions to improve their efficiency while taking into account long term parameters.

We wish to help people who want to understand the world around them. When one look at the surrounding world then inevitably one come to wonder «What is money ?» «How is it we give some value to a piece of paper or numbers in a computer ?» «How does the economy work ?» «What about international commercial relations ?» «How and where are made the products we consume ?»

There are other types of questions . How does a motor, a vehicle, a robot work ? What are the information sources of the news media ?